Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices

(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and likewise decreased its volumes, sending the company's share cost down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent industry.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average equivalent sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted since the start of the year, it added.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

"Renewable products' list prices have been negatively affected by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel price throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.

"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have not decreased and eco-friendly product market value premiums have stayed weak," the business added.

Industry executives and experts have actually said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are pausing growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable impact on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki